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Australian Treasury Secretary chalmers: The new A $2 billion expenditure on natural disaster preparedness will affect the mid-year economic and financial outlook.The fund sentiment continues to pick up, and the rebound of A shares is expected to continue! Half-day turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) exceeded 90 million yuan. By midday on December 10th, Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) had increased by 1.83%, with a turnover of 90299400 yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and Wuliangye rising by over 3%, while Kweichow Moutai, Midea Group and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by over 2%. In the news, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9th to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to "implement more active and promising macro policies." Galaxy Securities said that looking forward to the market outlook, from the macro event point of view, the US interest rate cut is expected to heat up in December, and the superimposed domestic PMI data performed well. The follow-up policy stimulus and financial data are expected to support the continuous recovery of capital sentiment, which can be appropriately optimistic. In addition, there have been many discussions on the upcoming meeting recently, and there are still strong expectations for stimulus policies. Next, the policy landing will be an important factor affecting whether the market style can be changed. If the fundamentals are expected to improve, the large and medium-sized stocks are expected to change their trend. We can pay attention to the opportunities of medium-term investment, that is, look for the turning point of the industry boom in 2025, such as new energy, medicine, advanced manufacturing, Hong Kong stock Internet and so on.It is said that Li Zhenyu, senior vice president of Baidu Group, left his post. According to media reports, Li Zhenyu, senior vice president of Baidu Group, assistant to CEO and former general manager of intelligent driving business group, has left his post. At present, no personal information can be found in the internal system. Sina Technology asked Baidu Group about this. As of press time, there is no official response. (Sina Technology)

Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Reserve Bank of Australia: Considering the recent data, the Committee's assessment is that monetary policy is still restrictive and is working as expected. In the November forecast, the degree of relief of wage pressure exceeded expectations.Japan Meteorological Agency: There is a 70% chance that La Niñ a will not occur before the arrival of spring. The Japan Meteorological Agency said that there are no signs of El Niñ o and La Niñ a at present, but the characteristics of La Niñ a are emerging. There is a 70% chance that La Nina will not occur before the spring comes.

Tongliao, Inner Mongolia: Support the use of provident fund balance to pay the down payment for house purchase. On December 9, Tongliao Housing Provident Fund Center of Inner Mongolia issued the Notice on Optimizing and Adjusting the Use Policy of Housing Provident Fund. The document proposes to increase the calculation amount of housing provident fund loans. Before the adjustment, it was "the amount of housing provident fund loan application does not exceed 20 times the balance of the account", and after the adjustment, it was "the amount of provident fund loan does not exceed 25 times the balance of the provident fund account", which will be implemented as of the date of issuing the notice. At the same time, support the use of provident fund balance to pay the down payment for house purchase. Support depositors to withdraw the balance of housing provident fund as the down payment for the purchase of newly-built self-occupied housing, that is, after the purchaser and the development enterprise sign the proposed purchase contract (agreement), they can apply for withdrawing the balance of housing provident fund account to pay the down payment for the purchase, which will be implemented from December 20. Tongliao will also adjust the maximum age for employees to repay loans. According to "Measures of the State Council on Gradually Delaying the Statutory Retirement Age", the term of individual housing loans for housing provident fund will be extended to 68 years for men and 63 years for women, or to 5 years after the statutory retirement age of depositors, with the longest loan term not exceeding 30 years. This policy will be implemented as of January 1, 2025.The fund sentiment continues to pick up, and the rebound of A shares is expected to continue! Half-day turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) exceeded 90 million yuan. By midday on December 10th, Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) had increased by 1.83%, with a turnover of 90299400 yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and Wuliangye rising by over 3%, while Kweichow Moutai, Midea Group and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by over 2%. In the news, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9th to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to "implement more active and promising macro policies." Galaxy Securities said that looking forward to the market outlook, from the macro event point of view, the US interest rate cut is expected to heat up in December, and the superimposed domestic PMI data performed well. The follow-up policy stimulus and financial data are expected to support the continuous recovery of capital sentiment, which can be appropriately optimistic. In addition, there have been many discussions on the upcoming meeting recently, and there are still strong expectations for stimulus policies. Next, the policy landing will be an important factor affecting whether the market style can be changed. If the fundamentals are expected to improve, the large and medium-sized stocks are expected to change their trend. We can pay attention to the opportunities of medium-term investment, that is, look for the turning point of the industry boom in 2025, such as new energy, medicine, advanced manufacturing, Hong Kong stock Internet and so on.Reserve Bank of Australia: Considering the recent data, the Committee's assessment is that monetary policy is still restrictive and is working as expected. In the November forecast, the degree of relief of wage pressure exceeded expectations.